Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 104.623180 118.784203 134.362665 152.805975 174.088577 197.927811 226.725008
2026-02-01 84.649264 103.286935 125.481461 153.993223 189.839354 233.661180 291.669984
2026-02-08 71.313218 91.514632 116.952817 151.594601 197.936811 258.346950 343.964452
2026-02-15 63.229527 84.523713 112.585081 152.678256 209.153535 286.854136 403.563792
2026-02-22 57.349393 79.393236 109.601282 154.598158 220.910841 316.602437 467.993073
2026-03-01 50.978888 72.699644 103.472757 150.979627 223.780218 333.291656 514.641680
2026-03-08 45.930990 67.270627 98.424996 148.106328 227.005163 350.316495 563.361050
2026-03-15 42.090450 63.182349 94.843292 146.882608 232.339341 370.811046 619.899342
2026-03-22 40.318919 62.021943 95.515699 152.262183 248.648768 410.663020 714.387949
2026-03-29 38.510619 60.598286 95.574845 156.536721 263.422625 449.426269 812.129682
2026-04-05 35.912182 57.651252 92.869261 155.818912 269.368072 473.230963 885.203676
2026-04-12 33.985999 55.629572 91.479702 157.159620 278.988181 504.572217 976.934907
2026-04-19 31.525186 52.699007 88.626442 156.244056 285.568044 533.327432 1073.031453
2026-04-26 29.643549 50.621796 87.099903 157.668571 296.951763 573.354131 1200.754651
2026-05-03 27.393640 47.677576 83.728980 155.217121 300.383280 597.826172 1298.918882
2026-05-10 25.879810 45.913300 82.315058 156.329991 311.046115 638.629353 1441.419934
2026-05-17 24.622617 44.501066 81.405142 158.300782 323.676310 685.356561 1606.708010
2026-05-24 22.794750 41.854786 77.895168 154.586449 323.620657 703.838101 1705.742892
2026-05-31 21.230533 39.583834 74.910816 151.637253 324.853589 725.379277 1816.687797
2026-06-07 19.992312 37.847257 72.830203 150.381256 329.732456 756.170476 1958.279293
2026-06-14 19.546515 37.644166 73.820693 155.902935 351.024093 830.023423 2234.356304
2026-06-21 19.009571 37.208810 74.285706 160.290771 370.179598 901.502759 2519.580616
2026-06-28 18.041471 35.806372 72.591120 159.553912 376.645478 941.035786 2717.805218